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2024 Election Forecast

2024 Presidential Election

Olympics 2024

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Presidential Election Winner 2024

Kamala Harris

52%

Donald Trump

45%

Michelle Obama

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Other Republican Politician

<1%

Nikki Haley

<1%

Other Democrat Politician

<1%

Hillary Clinton

<1%

Joe Biden

<1%

Gavin Newsom

<1%

Ron DeSantis

<1%

Vivek Ramaswamy

<1%

Chris Christie

<1%

AOC

<1%

Bernie Sanders

<1%

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

Kanye

<1%

$574.4m Bet

15,117

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Kamala Harris

76%

Donald Trump

23%

Michelle Obama

Other Democrat Politician

<1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

<1%

Other Republican Politician

<1%

Nikki Haley

<1%

Hillary Clinton

<1%

Joe Biden

<1%

Gavin Newsom

<1%

Ron DeSantis

<1%

Vivek Ramaswamy

<1%

Chris Christie

<1%

AOC

<1%

Bernie Sanders

<1%

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

Kanye West

<1%

$82.9m Bet

303

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

chance

$1.1m Bet

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

MAGA

64%

Crypto

57%

Censor or Censorship

61%

Trans

39%

Mars

36%

Tampon

18%

Illegal immigrant

59%

Civil war

22%

Tesla

66%

Weird

43%

$806.1k Bet

153

Iran military response by Monday?

11%

chance

$539.7k Bet

245

Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?

33%

chance

$487.8k Bet

Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?

Pennsylvania

33%

Wisconsin

17%

Michigan

14%

Georgia

11%

Arizona

North Carolina

Nevada

Other

Florida

NE-2

Virginia

New Mexico

New Hampshire

Minnesota

Maine

<1%

$452.6k Bet

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

24%

43%

27%

4 or more

$183.8k Bet

Electoral College Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?

GOP by 215+

GOP by 155-214

GOP by 105-154

GOP by 65-104

14%

GOP by 35-64

GOP by 15-34

GOP by 5-14

GOP by 1-4

Dems by 0-4

Dems by 5-14

Dems by 15-34

Dems by 35-64

13%

Dems by 65-104

16%

Dems by 105-154

Dems by 155-214

Dems by 215+

GOP/Dems both lose

<1%

$18.8m Bet

107

'It Ends with Us' Opening Weekend

<$40m

<1%

$40-44m

<1%

>$44m

100%

$654.3k Bet

Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?

<1%

chance

$2.2m Bet

Super Bowl Champion 2025

Chiefs

14%

49ers

11%

Ravens

Eagles

Lions

Bengals

Texans

Bills

Packers

Jets

Cowboys

Dolphins

Bears

Rams

Falcons

Buccaneers

Steelers

Browns

Chargers

Colts

Seahawks

Jaguars

Vikings

Giants

Broncos

Raiders

Patriots

Saints

Commanders

Cardinals

Panthers

Titans

$5.4m Bet

View all

Iran military response by Friday?

46%

chance

$57.0k Bet

Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?

43%

chance

$5.1k Bet

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

28%

chance

$56.5k Bet

Kamala Harris blowout victory?

24%

chance

$28.5k Bet

Democratic VP nominee on election day?

Tim Walz

95%

Michelle Obama

<1%

Kamala Harris

<1%

Joe Biden

<1%

Pete Buttigieg

<1%

Gretchen Whitmer

<1%

Gavin Newsom

<1%

J.B. Pritzker

<1%

Hillary Clinton

<1%

Andy Beshear

<1%

Josh Shapiro

Mark Kelly

<1%

Gina Raimondo

<1%

Other

$215.7k Bet

US inauguration on January 20?

96%

chance

$7.9k Bet

Who will speak at the DNC?

Jill Biden

68%

Hunter Biden

Michelle Obama

90%

Barack Obama

98%

Bill Clinton

97%

Hillary Clinton

98%

George Clooney

Mark Cuban

Nancy Pelosi

83%

Larry David

Lebron James

Taylor Swift

Bernie Sanders

88%

Charli XCX

$54.1k Bet

U.S. Presidential Election certified on January 6?

94%

chance

$14.2k Bet

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

Magnus Carlsen

51%

Hikaru Nakamura

36%

Alireza Firouzja

11%

Hans Moke Niemann

$56.5k Bet

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

67%

$2000

$5.3k Bet

Taylor Swift cancels more tour dates in August?

chance

$8.2k Bet

EDL declared terrorist org in August?

chance

NEW

View all

Recent Activity

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Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?

4twrg sold No at 100¢ ($232)

10s ago

Iran military response by Friday?

sdgsdgsdhg bought No at 56¢ ($79.81)

12s ago

Iran military response by Monday?

Zaabalawi bought No at 90¢ ($240)

12s ago

Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

undertaker bought No at 100¢ ($65.86)

14s ago

Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?

AndreaP bought Yes at 62¢ ($100.00)

16s ago

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